What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting ... |
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Drawing on different versions of the constitutional analysis of culture, this study addresses the search for "new post-epistemological identities" of science, political culture and art criticism. The book offers hermeneutic investigations of issues like the rationality of science, the notion of dialogue relevant to the pluralist public spheres, and the character of art criticisms after the "end of art". Dimitri Ginev is a professor at the University of Sofia. His research interests include history of modern hermeneutics, cultural and social theory of modernity, non-foundational epistemology, and ... |
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Изданието е съвместимо с настоящата учебна програма. ... Учебното помагало по история и цивилизации е предназначено за учениците от 9. клас на профилираните гимназии с интензивно изучаване на английски език. То е съобразено със спецификата на преподаването на учебните предмети на чужд език в българското училище. Неговите основни предимства са: компетентен превод и редакция, направени от носител на езика, специалист по история и културология; текстовете на темите са намалени по обем и адаптирани спрямо езиковото равнище на учениците; към темите са предложени откъси от писмен исторически източник, подходящи за анализ; ... |
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What if being lucky wasn't just chance, but a skill you could master? Learn to identify and act on serendipity to lead a more joyful, purposeful, and successful life. Modern life is full of chance encounters, changing plans, delayed journeys, human errors and other mishaps. This is the hidden force that rules our universe: serendipity. But what if we could use such unpredictability to our advantage? Dr. Christian Busch has spent a decade exploring how, if acted upon, unexpected encounters can enhance our worldview, expand our social circles and create new professional opportunities. From couples who met during chance ... |
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The art and science of communicating numbers. Making Numbers Count is a lively, practical, first-of-its-kind guide to turning cold, clinical data into a memorable story. How many hours' worth of songs are on your Spotify Wrapped this year? How much is your commute time really worth? How do you work out how likely you are to get Covid based on the official statistics? How do your viewing hours track against the most popular shows on Netflix? Whether you're interested in global problems like climate change, and understanding that the Australian wildfires destroyed an area twice the size of Portugal, or just ... |
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Rembrandt van Rijn (1606 - 1669) never left his homeland of the Netherlands but in his massive body of painting, drawing, and etching, he changed the course of Western art. His prolific oeuvre encompasses religious, historical, and secular scenes, as well as one of the most extraordinary series of portraits and self-portraits in history. Rembrandt's work foregrounds texture, light, and acute observation. Like sudden, startling apparitions in a shadowy street, his subjects are illuminated against deep, dark backgrounds and rendered with immense physical as well as psychological scrutiny. Whether biblical or ... |
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An illustrated tour of the night sky. ... What We See in the Stars Kelsey Oseid is a richly illustrated guide to the myths, histories, and science of the celestial bodies of our solar system, with stories and information about constellations, planets, comets, the northern lights, and more. Combining art, mythology, and science, What We See in the Stars is a tour of the night sky through more than a hundred magical pieces of original art, all accompanied by text that weaves related legends and lore with scientific facts. This beautifully packaged book covers the night sky's most brilliant features such as ... |
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From the beginning of human history, individuals across cultures and belief systems have looked to the sky for meaning. The movement of celestial bodies and their relation to our human lives has been the central tenant of astrology for thousands of years. The practice has both inspired reverence and worship, and deepened our understanding of ourselves and the world around us. While modern-day horoscopes may be the most familiar form of astrological knowledge, their lineage reaches back to ancient Mesopotamia. As author Andrea Richards recounts in Astrology, the second volume in Taschen's Library of Esoterica ... |
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Oxford Bookworms Library Factfiles are non-fiction graded readers from the "Oxford Bookworms Library" available for Levels 1 to 4 (CEFR A1 - B2). Students learn about different countries and cultures, science and nature, history and historical figures all while practising and improving their English. Everybody took photos of Prince William when he first arrived at the University of St Andrews. Crowds of photographers came to the little Scottish town next to the sea and took pictures of this new student - the nineteen year-old grandson of the Queen of England. But nobody photographed Kate Middleton on her first ... |
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Изданието е съвместимо с настоящата учебна програма. ... Учебното помагало: е предназначено за ученици в 9. клас на паралелките с интензивно изучаване на английски език; следва съдържанието на профилирания учебник по предмета; съдържа адаптирани текстове за усвояване на новите знания и понятия на английски език към всеки урок; включва упражнения за затвърдяване на съответната лексика и практическото овладяване на езика. Към всеки от уроците има кратък терминологичен речник. Всеки урок е представен на две страници с помощта на ясен алгоритъм: кратък адаптиран текст за новите знания; английско-български речник ... |
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One of the crucial questions, which emerges in the process of the EU expansion is "How to avoid the alienation of the values and rights from the vivid culture of the European nations?" No doubt, they should not be limited to formal principles of communication. The point is to determine what should be done within the frame of politics, economy, education, healthcare, legislation, art, etc. in order to implement the principles of the European culture as guidelines for European citizens. Discussing rights and values in the Enlarging EU, it is usually assumed that the new member states are going to adopt the ... |
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Filling notebook after notebook with sketches, inventions, and theories, Leonardo da Vinci (1452 - 1519) not only stands as one of the most exceptional draftsmen of art history, but also as a mastermind and innovator who anticipated some of the greatest discoveries of human progress, sometimes centuries before their material realization. From the smallest arteries in the human heart to the far-flung constellations of the universe, Leonardo saw nature and science as being unequivocally connected. His points of inquiry and invention spanned philosophy, anatomy, geology, and mathematics, from the laws of optics, ... |
