What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting ... |
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Панчо Панчев завършва театрознание, но скоро след това излиза от ролята на квалифициран зрител и се гмурва вътре в сценичното изкуство като автор на пиеси. За няколко десетилетия светлините на рампата са огрели около 50 негови драматургични творби, най-успешно от които се играят комедиите му и заглавията, адресирани до детската публика. Освен в драматичните театри сюжетите и диалозите му често са намирали място в радиото и телевизията, над куклените паравани, като либрета на музикално-сценични произведения... Зрителите с чувство за хумор помнят "Има ли смисъл да утрепваме мечка?", "Вълци нема", " ... |
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Geoffrey West's research centres on a quest to find unifying principles and patterns connecting everything, from cells and ecosystems to cities, social networks and businesses. Scale addresses big, urgent questions about global sustainability, population explosion, urbanization, ageing, cancer, human lifespans and the increasing pace of life, but also encourages us to question the world around us. Why can we live for 120 years but not for a thousand? Why does the pace of life continually increase? Why do mice live for just two or three years and elephants for up to 75? Why do companies behave like mice, and are they ... |
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In these two linked stories, Daisy visits the beach and the park. With a little help from her family she has a good time and also learns some useful lessons. "Macmillan English Explorers" is an eight-level reading scheme written specifically for young learners of English. They bring first language teaching methods to reading lessons in international classrooms. Informed by the National Literacy Strategy and by teaching methodology for first language speakers of English, "Macmillan Explorers" is supported by an understanding of the needs of young learners and teachers of English. ... |
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This optional component includes 6 extra pages of practice for every unit of the course. The activities provide additional pen to paper activities and fine motor skills practice from tracing lines and shapes to letters and numbers. Учебната система по английски език Pippa and Pop - ниво 2 се състои от: учебник учебна тетрадка тетрадка за писане книжка за четене книга за учителя флашкарти постери Изброените компоненти от учебната система се продават поотделно. За да закупите някой от тях, последвайте съответния линк. ... |
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Hogwarts house edition. ... Let the magic of J.K. Rowling's classic Harry Potter series take you back to Hogwarts School of Witchcraft and Wizardry. This Gryffindor House Edition of "Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire" celebrates the noble character of the Hogwarts house famed for its courage, bravery and determination. Harry's fourth year at Hogwarts is packed with more great Gryffindor moments and characters, including Harry's unexpected selection as champion in the Triwizard Tournament - not to mention Hagrid's misadventures with Blast-Ended Skrewts! Each Gryffindor House Edition ... |
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Based on the story of Jane Austen . Retold by Clare West . ... The moment I first met you, I noticed your pride, your sense of superiority, and your selfish disdain for the feelings of others. You are the last man in the world whom I could ever be persuaded to marry' said Elizabeth Bennet. And so Elizabeth rejects the proud Mr Darcy. Can nothing overcome her prejudice against him? And what of the other Bennet girls - their fortunes, and misfortunes, in the business of getting husbands? This famous novel by Jane Austen is full of wise and humorous observation of the people and manners of her times. Classics, modern ... |
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When Lord Asano drew his sword on Lord Kira one spring day in 1701, it began a story that is now a national legend in Japan. Lord Kira lived, but Lord Asano died, and after his death, his samurai became ronin, samurai without a master. And so began their long plan for revenge on Kira. Their loyalty to their dead master made him famous, and people in Japan remember them to this day. The story of the fortyseven ronin has been told and retold for 300 years - in plays, novels, and films. A major Hollywood film was made about the forty-seven ronin in 2013. Classics, modern fiction, non-fiction and more. Written for secondary ... |
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This textbook is designed for students taking a university degree in International Relations (IR), European Studies (ES) and Political Science (PS) at Bulgarian universities, including the University of National and World Economy (UNWE). Another potential target group of users are students majoring in journalism, law or management who need to understand and express key concepts in politics, economics and international relations. Students with an advanced level of proficiency in English will gain most benefit from this textbook. The latter has been graded as advanced level, considering that a basic prerequisite for ... |
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Editor: N. K. Jemisin. Series editor: John Joseph Adams. ... Today's readers of science fiction and fantasy have an appetite for stories that address a wide variety of voices, perspectives, and styles. There is an openness to experiment and pushing boundaries, combined with the classic desire to read about space ships and dragons, future technology and ancient magic, and the places where they intersect. Contemporary science fiction and fantasy looks to accomplish the same goal as ever to illuminate what it means to be human. With a diverse selection of stories chosen by series editor John Joseph Adams and guest ... |
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This optional component includes 6 extra pages of practice for every unit of the course. The activities provide additional pen to paper activities and fine motor skills practice from tracing lines and shapes to letters and numbers. Учебната система по английски език Pippa and Pop - ниво 1 се състои от: учебник учебна тетрадка тетрадка за писане книжка за четене книга за учителя флашкарти постери Изброените компоненти от учебната система се продават поотделно. За да закупите някой от тях, последвайте съответния линк. ... |
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This optional component includes 6 extra pages of practice for every unit of the course. The activities provide additional pen to paper activities and fine motor skills practice from tracing lines and shapes to letters and numbers. Учебната система по английски език Pippa and Pop - ниво 3 се състои от: учебник учебна тетрадка тетрадка за писане книжка за четене книга за учителя флашкарти постери Изброените компоненти от учебната система се продават поотделно. За да закупите някой от тях, последвайте съответния линк. ... |
