What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting ... |
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The first novel in Julia Quinn's worldwide bestselling Bridgerton novels, now a series created by Shondaland for Netflix. This is the story of Daphne Bridgerton and the Duke: welcome to the ballrooms of Regency London... Can there be any greater challenge to London's Ambitious Mamas than an unmarried duke? Lady Whistledown's Society Papers, April 1813 By all accounts, Simon Basset is on the verge of proposing to his best friend's sister, the lovely - and almost-on-the-shelf - Daphne Bridgerton. But the two of them know the truth - it's all an elaborate plan to keep Simon free from marriage-minded ... |
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GCSE Revision without the boring bits, from Newton's Laws to levitating frogs. Illustrated by James Davies. ... Get Ahead in Physics covers the essentials for GCSE science in a book you can start and finish - without falling asleep in the middle! Each chapter is tied to a key topic for studying Physics. Learn about: the particle model of matter; energy; radiation; electricity; newton's laws; waves; electromagnetism; cosmology. Along the way, hear fascinating TRUE stories of the Philosopher's Stone, radioactive energy drinks and a couple of levitating frogs... Each chapter ends with an "at ... |
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Пакет със книжки. ... The Flash Reading Scheme provides a stimulating yet structured approach to developing reading skills. The carefully graded vocabulary throughout its five reading levels enables children to learn keywords whilst enjoying exciting, fun-filled stories. The amusing characters and their adventures with the magic camera have been specially created to capture the imaginations of the young in both familiar and unusual settings. Each illustration has been designed to encourage discussion and interaction, and playful Tiger can be found hiding amongst the pages of every story. All of the books contain advice ... |
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Illustrations by Gay Glasworthy. ... The weather was terribly hot. Hot winds blew and the air was full of red dust. But everyone knew that the hottest weather came before the rain. In September the rain clouds would gather. But September came and there were no rain clouds in the sky. At the cattle posts, far out in the bush, the wells began to dry up and the cattle began to die... This book is in British English. Here you can find: points for understanding comprehension questions; glossary of difficult vocabulary; free resources including worksheets, tests and author data sheet at www.macmillanreaders.com . ... |
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At last the fishing net lay in the bottom of the boat. Lek stepped forward and opened the net. He picked up the blue and white thing. It was a plate. Lek started to laugh. "– We've caught a plate - an old plate! Shall I throw it back into the sea? - he asked Daeng. – No, no, wait a minute! - said Daeng. – Give it to me. He looked at the plate carefully. – I saw a picture of a plate like this in the newspaper - he said. – The plate was very old. It was worth a lot of money." From the book This book is in British English and here you can find a story and points for understanding comprehension questions. ... |
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Complete and unabridged. A pocket sized book - 10 x 15.5 cm. ... First published in 1914, "Dubliners" depicts middle-class Catholic life in Dublin at the start of the twentieth century. Themes within the stories include the disappointments of childhood, the frustrations of adolescence, and the importance of sexual awakening. James Joyce was twenty-five years old when he wrote this collection of short stories, among which "The Dead" is probably the most famous. Considered at the time as a literary experiment, "Dubliners" contains moments of joy, fear, grief, love and loss, which combine to ... |
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Complete and unabridged. A pocket sized book - 10 x 15.5 cm. ... First staged in 1599, Shakespeare's history of Henry V's remarkable victory over the French at Agincourt and the subsequent peace between the two nations is also a study of war and kingship. From his wild youth, Henry comes to embody all of the kingly virtues: courage, justice, integrity and honour. Written at the end of the life of Elizabeth I, this inspirational, gripping play struck a chord in a time of uncertainty. This Macmillan Collector's Library edition is illustrated throughout by renowned artist Sir John Gilbert (1817 - 1897), and ... |
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A comprehensive guide to Bulgarian grammar and usage. Clear explanations, real - life examples and varied exercises. ... The practical Bulgarian Grammar for English Speakers is a grammar book intended to serve as a textbook and reference manual for all learners of Bulgarian at all learning levels. If you are at the very start of a Bulgarian language course and you need more information about the basic grammar rules, or you already speak the language but you are baffled by construction that you hear in spoken Bulgarian and were not explained in your basic course, this book will give you more knowledge about how the ... |
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Physicochemical accents. ... The book shows the possibilities of applying of the physicochemical petrological research methods for an in-depth study of the processes of wallrock alterations and obtaining new original data in metasomatic petrology. The author's investigation on mineral equilibria in the system K 2 О-Al 2 O 3 -SiO 2 -H 2 O-SO 3 is of particular importance for studying of the physicochemical conditions of mineral formation during the acid metasomatism of rocks. By investigating the mineral equilibria on this system, it is possible to develop a complete facies subdivision of secondary quartzes mineral ... |
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"It is well know to all how much daily problems the Bulgarian people has in these days. However, more dangerous than anything is the tendency to loose identity and national selfconfidence. This is a clearly visible tendency in the inscriptions of foreign languages, mass emigration and the wish for imitation of foreign culture. At other side, the answer to the question, "Why are you ashamed to call youself Bulgarian?" is more than obvious: there is in the present time to be proud of. The above-described situation makes preservation and popularization of Bulgarian History extraordinarily important. If it ... |
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Complete and unabridged. A pocket sized book - 10 x 15.5 cm. ... Designed to appeal to the booklover, the Macmillan Collector's Library is a series of beautiful gift editions of much loved classic titles. Macmillan Collector's Library are books to love and treasure. This edition of Henry James's classic ghost stories features an afterword by bestselling author Kate Mosse OBE. A young governess is employed to look after two orphaned siblings in a grand country house. Isolated and inexperienced, she is at first charmed by the children - but gradually suspects that they may not be as innocent as they seem. ... |
