Making right desicions when you don't have all the facts. ... Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, and there's always information hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making? Annie Duke, a ... |
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In his mega bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation - each of these can be understood only by ... |
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A world-class thinker counts the ways-100 in all-in which humans behave irrationally, showing us what we can do to recognize and minimize these thinking errors for better decisions and a better life Despite the best of intentions, humans are notoriously bad-that is, irrational-when it comes to making decisions and assessing risks and tradeoffs. Psychologists and neuroscientists refer to these distinctly human foibles, biases, and thinking traps as cognitive errors. Cognitive errors are systematic deviances from rationality, from optimized, logical, rational thinking and behavior. We make these errors all the time, in all ... |
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Rue Siebert might not have it all, but she has enough: a few friends she can always count on, the financial stability she yearned for as a kid, and a successful career as a biotech engineer at Kline, one of the most promising start-ups in the field of food science. Her world is stable, pleasant, and hard-fought. Until a hostile takeover and its offensively attractive front man threatens to bring it all crumbling down. Eli Killgore and his business partners want Kline, period. Eli has his own reasons for pushing this deal through-and he's a man who gets what he wants. With one burning exception: Rue. The woman he can&# ... |
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Уроци по стил, жаргон и съблазън в световната столица на модата. ... Това е невероятната истинска история на американката Кейт Бетс, посветила кариерата си на модата. Редактор в списанията "Вог", "Харпърс Базар" и "Тайм", тя е и автор на бестселъра "Икона всеки ден. Мишел Обама и могъществото на стила". Този завладяващ мемоар ни пренася в очарователната Франция през 80 -те години. Младата Кейт заминава за Париж, твърдо решена да осъществи мечтата си да се превърне в зашеметяващ и изключително успешен чуждестранен кореспондент. Поредицата ѝ талантливи статии за по-малки ... |
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Academic Vocabulary in Use Second Edition is the perfect study aid for anyone using English for their academic work. Ideal for students of any discipline, this second edition has been updated to reflect changes in education, technology and communications, includes a selection of new reading passages, and is now in full colour. 50 easy-to-use, two-page units give clear explanations of new vocabulary, along with a variety of practice exercises. A comprehensive answer key, and phonemic transcriptions to help with pronunciation, make it perfect for self-study as well as for use in the classroom. This book is designed for ... |
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Pocket edition. A concise, accessible reference to help you understand and evaluate trends in English Language Teaching. In this user-friendly book, Philip Kerr provides a clear overview of key trends in ELT, identified through analysis of current ELT discourse. The book is divided into sections on language, learning, teaching and evidence for easy navigation, and covers a wide range of topics including plurilingualism, wellbeing, digital literacies, metacognition, flipped learning, gamification, mediation, and critical thinking. It explores how and why each trend is significant, discusses how it is reflected in ... |
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Лексиката, която ви е необходима, за да общувате уверено в съвременната бизнес среда. Изданието е предназначено за напреднали ученици и професионалисти (ниво B2 до C1), целящи да развият и надградят знанията и уменията си в общуването на бизнес английски. Книгата може да се използва както за самостоятелна подготовка, така и за работа в клас. Съдържа код за електронна книга, която може да се използва както онлайн, така и на компютър и таблет. Може да се инсталира на таблети, използващи платформите iOS и Android от безплатното приложение Cambridge Bookshelf. Съдържанието на електронното и печатното издание е еднакво, като ... |
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Виното е много повече от напитка – то е жив летопис на човешката цивилизация. В съвременния свят неговата идентичност се простира далеч отвъд чашата, преплитайки в себе си изкуство, история, икономика, право и много други аспекти на човешката мисъл. Зад всяка бутилка вино стои сложен път, в който традициите се срещат с иновациите, а творчеството – с прецизния мениджмънт и правото. Книгата изследва един често пренебрегван, но жизненоважен аспект на винарската индустрия: интелектуалната собственост. Връзката между виното и този изключително динамичен дял на правото е дълбока и многопластова. Тя обхваща всичко – от ... |
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Meta-anthropology of the history of the 21st century. The author sets out his philosophical perspective on the causes and aftermath of the war in Ukraine through the prism of the meta-anthropology of history, drawing on the biblical parable of David and Goliath to clarify the dichotomy between the new humanism and neo-totalitarianism. The new humanism is not just an ideology or a practice of sympathy for the afflicted, especially in war, but is expressed in an effective and wise understanding of the Other that prevents death and destruction. Most importantly, the new humanism must actually prevent and stop crimes against ... |
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A Battle-Tested Guide to Unshakable Performance. You don't have to be born confident. You can learn to be confident. Here's how. Dr. Nate Zinsser works with the cream of the US military to prepare them mentally for leadership and for action. He also trains top sportsmen and women to develop the self-belief essential for world-class performance. Now he shares the tried and tested techniques he has perfected over many years to help anyone who wants to acquire the confidence that will enable them to perform at their very best, whatever the environment, however stressful the situation. In the process he shows how ... |
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Пригответе се за изумително пътешествие из дебрите на ума, което ще ни обясни двете системи, които ръководят мисленето. Система 1 е бърза, интуитивна и емоционална. Система 2 е бавна, съзнателна и логична. Книгата разкрива изключителните характеристики - и положителните, и отрицателните - на мисловния процес и показва колко силно влияят нашите интуитивни впечатления на мозъка и поведението ни. Читателят се увлича в интересен диалог, разкриващ кога и как да вярваме на своята интуиция. Предлагат ни се практически и просветляващи прозрения за начина, по който правим избор и за различните техники срещу дефектите в мисленето, ... |
